Saturday, December 10, 2016

THIS MONTH'S DUMB IDEA AWARD GOES TO...

PORTLAND OREGON'S GOVERNMENT 

Portland Oregon is a beautiful city; no question about it and it's probably a great place to live.  Just look at it:


But, unfortunately, it looks to me like it doesn't have the sharpest city government you could hope for.  You know: "CITY GOVERNMENT," the folks that are suppose to collect the garbage, water the grass in the parks, put out fires, keep the streets clean, etc., all by the way being critical things to our daily happiness.  Their job is not, however, to try to regulate Corporate America, Wall Street, global commerce and the like.  They neither have the skills, experience or power to do that.

Unfortunately, as you may have read in the NY Times (see link below), the Portland City Government recently passed a tax on corporations that pay their CEOs more than 100 times the average workers pay.


Now, don't get me wrong, I'm not defending out of line CEO pay.  That's a big topic that I'm not trying to address here.  I will say that CEOs have huge responsibilities and the welfare of many depend on them.  The successful ones deserve to be very well paid.  Some may be overpaid, not all though.  But today a lot of people are overpaid or at least stratospherically paid, like sports heroes, movies stars, singers, hedge fund managers and on and on, the 0.1%.  This law by targeting business discriminates and we all know why.  You can get a lot of political mileage by going after business, not so by going after the $100 million contract for a star athlete that jacks up ticket prices for families, rich and poor alike.

The real problem with the law isn't that it discriminates against business (I'm sure everyone would get teary eyed over that).  The problem is that the law will be totally ineffective in addressing income inequality, its intended target, and along the way may well actually hurt the people it is trying to help:

  • First, the real problem today is not how much CEO's and other corporate executives are paid.  It is what they are paid for.  Paying executives for enriching the "investors" quickly as opposed to building and strengthening their businesses is the problem. Executives should not be handsomely rewarded for firing people (restructuring), moving jobs out of the United States (efficiency) and other actions with the purpose of making more cash available to distribute to Wall Street.  They should be rewarded for building their businesses, creating new products and jobs, fostering long-term growth and the like, not for enriching Wall Street with short-term profits at the expense of Main Street.
  • Who do you think will ultimately pay for the tax:
A. The CEOs
B. Wall Street
C. Consumers
  • Well, if you answered C, you're right.  The increased cost will eventually be passed-on to consumers through higher prices (or some other way), including to the citizens of Portland.  So, the city leaders might just as well have taxed the people directly and been done with it.
  • Lastly, the "Donald" may be able to build a wall, but I doubt that Portland can.  Beaverton, please get ready for an influx of business.
The sad thing about all of this is that while politicians like these grandstand with sound-good, stupid ideas (often to advance their own careers), we are all led astray and encouraged to take our collective eye off the real ball, SHORT-TERMISM, which if addressed would go a long way to creating opportunity and raising incomes. Short-Termism is a major contributor to the loss of opportunity in our society, stagnant wages and the slow demise of the middle-class.

The honorable mentions for this award go to former Senator Chris Dodd (who came out of the Washington revolving door to become one of Hollywood's chief lobbyists) and former Congressman Barney Frank (I believe he became a director of one of the banks he worked so hard to regulate), who together authored the law that is the foundation for this nonsense, and to the SEC that has steadfastly refused to implement real change while working on this sort of thing. 

Look for my next blog:  What was the Greatest Innovation in the last 200 years?     




Wednesday, December 7, 2016

"CANCEL ORDER"

"Cancel order!"

Yes, that's what the president-elect tweeted yesterday about the order to purchase the new $4 billion Air Force One from Boeing.  His concern, a way out of line price.  Makes sense, since a show room floor 747 costs between $300-400 million.  That's a lot of upgrades. 



Since then, there has been a lot of dispute about what is behind his belief that the plane is going to be overpriced.  We know that the transition was briefed, but "experts" say that it is way too soon to tell.

Anyway, as everyone looks at this, they should not lose sight of the fact that recently Boeing completed an aggressive 3-year $19 billion stock buyback, virtually all of their free cash flow.


The WSJ headline said in part:


"Plane maker’s plans raises concerns about cash flow for future buybacks and R&D"

http://www.wsj.com/articles/boeings-buyback-spending-makes-some-analysts-jittery-1462920092


So, when I saw this I started to wonder:

What if that $19 Billion had been used for R&D investment.  Would Boeing be able to produce the new Air Force One more efficiently and save the taxpayers some money?  Would be really unfortunate if what was really going on here was a taxpayer funding of distributions to shareholders through higher procurement costs.

And I bet $19 billion of R&D would go a long way to making Boeing more competitive against Airbus.

Just some thoughts.  




Saturday, December 3, 2016

 
 
FREE TRADE
WE PROBABLY CAN'T PUT THE GENIE BACK IN THE BOTTLE BUT WE SURE CAN MAKE IT WORK FOR US
 
 
 
A GOOD ARTICLE APPEARED IN THE  NY TIMES TODAY DISCUSSING HOW INTERLINKED THE WORLD'S TRADE IS AND HOW DIFFICULT IT WILL BE TO SIMPLY CLAMP DOWN ON FREE TRADE.  IT OBSERVES THAT CLAMPING DOWN ON FREE TRADE MAY HURT JOBS.  TAKE A LOOK:
 
 
SO MAYBE THAT GENIE IS GOING TO BE TOO HARD TO PUT BACK IN THE BOTTLE. AND MAYBE WE SHOULDN'T. 
 
BUT ONE THING WE SHOULD BE DOING IS TO MAKE THE GENIE WORK FOR US BY TAMING SHORT-TERMISM.  MAKE THE BENEFITS OF FREE TRADE WORK TO BUILD BUSINESSES, JOBS AND THE ECONOMY, AND NOT BE SIPHONED OFF TO ENRICH WALL STREET.
 
 


Friday, December 2, 2016

HOORAY FOR THE DONALD


Now I'm a Democrat, not a Nancy Pelosi Democrat, but a Democrat nevertheless.  So, you might be surprised that, unlike everybody else on my side of the aisle, I am giving the President-Elect kudos for what he did for Carrier's workers.  To me, the fact that he would roll up his sleeves, get in the trenches and save so many lives is very admirable, and I might say uncommon in our political leaders who would often rather discuss the economic theory behind the layoff over a good Cab in a fancy restaurant.

I would hope, however, that no one would lose sight of the real problem here.  Its not Mexico; it's not free trade.  It's short-termism.

In theory, there is nothing wrong with free trade even if it means moving lower tech jobs to Mexico or China or Burma (oops Myanmar).  It can grow our economy and provide more prosperity to Main Street.  Here's how:

  • Product A costs $100 to make in the U.S.
  • Move it to Mexico-it now costs $50
  • All of us (including those who made Product A in the US) get two for one
  • And Product A Company gets another $50 in profits
  • Product A Company takes that $50 and uses it to develop and make Product A PLUS
  • The workers retrain to make Product A PLUS, keep their jobs and get a raise because Product A PLUS is more profitable and can handle the higher wages.
Sounds good. Right? 

But here's the problem:
  • That $50 profit doesn't go to develop a new product or anything else that will grow the company and replace the lost jobs with new and better ones.
  • It's given to the shareholders through more dividends and stock buybacks.  Carrier's parent, United Technologies, is conducting a $12 billion stock buyback according to Hillary Clinton.

So, there is nothing inherently bad with free trade.  But if it's used to fund short-term profits for Wall Street traders and not to build bigger and stronger businesses, it is very destructive.  The jobs go and never come back because the benefits from it don't get reinvested in the business for growth. 

The politicians love to talk about retraining programs as the panacea which will make everything okay for the worker who has lost his or her job.  But, retraining for what?  We can only eat so many hamburgers.  We need the new, good jobs.

If free trade's benefits are used to satisfy Wall Street's demands for short-term profits and not grow the economy, it becomes a job destroyer, not the job creator it should be.  No wonder that it has done such so much damage to Main Street and America's workers.   



HERE'S WHAT VICE PRESIDENT BIDEN SAID ABOUT SHORT-TERMISM IN THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
CLICK

Wednesday, November 30, 2016

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
SHORT-TERMISM PRESENTATION
 
EXPLAINING HOW SHORT-TERMISM IS HURTING MAIN STREET AND THE AVERAGE AMERICAN
 
A GOOD GUIDE FOR A DISCUSSION WITH YOUR FRIENDS, NEIGHBORS AND GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS 
 
 
 
 






































Sunday, November 27, 2016

 
 WHY IS CARRIER MOVING TO MEXICO?
 
 
ANSWER: TO FEED WALL STREET'S SHORT-TERM APPETITE
 
 
A $12 BILLION STOCK BUYBACK WHILE SHIPPING 2100 JOBS TO MEXICO
 
CLICK TO SEE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$12 BILLION OUT OF CARRIER AND INTO THE HANDS OF WALL STREET, LEAVING WORKERS, COMMUNITIES AND THE COMPANY AND ITS LONG TERM INVESTORS TO BEAR THE BURDEN OF THIS DESTRUCTIVE SHORT-TERM ACTION. THIS IS NOT EFFICIENCY. THIS IS NOT COMPETITIVENESS.  THIS IS A LIQUIDATION, COMPROMISING THE LONG TERM STRENTH OF THE COMPANY, AND DAMAGING SO MANY.